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澳元兑纽元或先跌后涨,有望上测1.10;西太平洋银行称,澳元兑纽元可能先跌至1.06,然后反弹至1.10,近期来看汇价或重新向下测试1.06,澳洲联储近期立场转向更加鸽派,实施降息并加大量化宽松计划,而预计新西兰联储将公布一项廉价的银行融资计划,但预期其关注现金利率实施负值的说法将维持不变或有所淡化;短端债券收益率息差应利多纽元而不是澳元,但若新西兰联储在2021年8月之前将官方现金利率降至-0.50%,那么数月后澳元兑纽元将出现反转,有望涨至1.10

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