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中期欧元兑美元目标上看1.23,但风险偏下行;富国银行认为,欧元区实施新封锁将打压未来数月的经济活动,预计欧洲央行将在12月会议上宣布扩大5000亿欧元的新冠病毒疫情紧急医疗计划购买规模,中期内欧元兑美元目标上看1.23,风险偏下行;欧洲夏季初步经济增长数据积极,欧元区四季度经济有可能恶化;未来数月,欧元区主要经济体实施新的封锁措施,将打压欧元区经济,尽管三季度经济出现增长,但预期2020年欧元区经济将萎缩7.4%,预计2021年欧元区经济增长将达到3.7%,但是短期内受宽松的货币政策和欧元区前景存在不确定的影响,欧元上涨料将遇到阻力,当前汇价波动可能仍相对有限,特别是在欧元多头头寸存在积累的情况下

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