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目前大选结果还未出来,估计要等到北京时间夜间。对于美国整体而言大选结束是去掉了一个重大的政治不确定性!这也是近期利空美元的一大因素,在大选结束(如果是拜登就要等到权力移交之后,如果是特朗普则看看拜登要不要闹事)如果遇到闹事会利空美元,这属于加深不确定性。但等结束这股利空就会消失,短线而言美元反弹可期,但是大选一结束剩下就是看疫情控制,经济恢复,对外贸易,对外外交方面,以及减税2.0。我设想了一下假设特连任上来就减税的话我估计也达不到效果,现在疫情还在压制经济。不过一旦在大选落地之后要注意刺激法案的通过会利空美元,天量的货币扔出来黄金必然是有反应的这点要注意! #WTI.F# #XAU/USD# #2020美国大选决战#

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