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美国大选计票若陷入僵局,美指强势时间或维持更久;①花旗的分析师指出,由于避险情绪升温,美元指数在美国大选投票日内直至开票完成前可能走强,一旦计票陷入僵局,强势美元可能维持更久的时间;②而长期来看,美元走势或仍受到疫情及美联储宽松预期影响,面临一定的压力,但是更多将基于选举结果而定;③花旗认为,如果民主党候选人拜登获胜,面对美国税收政策的不确定性,美元将更有可能承压下行,欧系货币、日元及亚系新兴市场货币将走强,而由于能源新政的落实,原油价格将带动加元持续走低

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