本周欧洲央行进一步放松银根的几率逐步提升；富国银行认为，本周欧洲央行10月利率决议实施宽松政策的风险正不断加大，过去数周欧元区新增新冠病毒病例明显上升，导致欧元区各国推出新的封锁措施，欧洲一些国家/地区推出新的封锁计划，可能会对欧元区经济造成新的压力；随着欧元区经济风险出现下行，预期欧洲央行将开始对欧元区经济以及货币政策采取更加鸽派的立场，尽管目前并未明确降息或欧洲央行量宽计划将会加大，但若欧元区新增新冠病毒病例持续上升，并且经济数据恶化，欧洲央行决策者最终将寻求更宽松的货币政策，由于欧元区利率已处在负值，因此欧元区加大量化宽松计划的可能性要大于降息
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