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美元指数昨日跳跌触及9月初以来的七周低位,与美股美债罕见地一同承压,因美国大选的不确定性消息令国际资本预防性地从美国市场撤离。而周四盘中,虽然在欧洲疫情加剧等避险情绪推动下,美元指数一度略有木乃伊反弹,但是在欧洲市长开盘之际,美元已经再度滑入了下行的趋势中,如此走势也延续了美元指数自月初以来的下行趋势,而未来一周在选情进入最后冲刺阶段料有更多消息继续发酵的背景下,美元走贬仍是大趋势。虽然外部市场如欧洲等地的疫情与地缘局势风险仍会带来额外的美元避险买需,却敌不过更多资本赶在大选计票出现可能的纷争之前暂时逃离美国市场的冲动。因此,大选来临之际,仍不排除美元指数进一步跌向92关口下方的9月份前期低位91.78这一可能性。

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