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未来白银的工业需求和投资需求两旺;① 花旗认为,在未来一年中,由于投资者持续加仓和工业的复苏,在基本假设下,白银价格能涨至40美元/盎司,涨幅达70%;② 白银价格复苏的重要推动力是2021年工业消费的复苏。在白银的工业需求方面,花旗集团认为,全球太阳能产业将大幅增长,从而带动白银价格上涨;③ 花旗的白银供需模型表明,到2021年,市场对白银的需求将达到10.287亿盎司,考虑到白银供需、市场可交易的存量白银等因素,2021年白银将出现1.5亿盎司的短缺;④ 另外,白银的情况部分取决于投资需求。花旗预计,投资者对贵金属敞口的需求在2021年期间将仍然很高,这是因为市场担忧持续、大规模的财政刺激将让货币承受更大的贬值压力,市场同样担忧新冠疫苗的有效性以及对股市能否持续上行依然怀疑。

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