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澳元兑美元创三周新低,受降息预期升温拖累; ① 澳元兑美元周二延续跌势,一度创三周新低至0.7038,,之前澳洲联储会议纪要偏向鸽派,强化了11月份降息的预期。 ② 会议纪要显示,澳洲联储讨论了进一步放宽政策的举措,包括购买较长期债券;澳洲联储讨论了其他国家放宽政策对汇率的影响 ③ 会议纪要整体偏向鸽派,呼应了澳洲联储主席洛威上周的讲话;澳洲联储主席洛威上周改变立场,暗示进一步放宽货币政策的大门已开,同时并称澳洲联储货币政策委员会正考虑是否扩大量化宽松计划,将购债标的延伸至三年期以外的债券 ④ 最新调查显示,受访的25位分析师中,有21位预期澳洲联储11月3日会议将降息15个基点至0.10%。一位分析师预期降息10个基点至0.15%,余下的分析师认为该央行将维持利率不变。 ⑤ 分析师们还预期澳洲联储将扩大公债购买计划 ⑥ 下方较强的支撑在0.70关口,9月28日低点支撑也在该位置附近

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