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现货黄金价格过去五年来近乎翻倍,但以股价对比金价仍未高估; ① 现货黄金价格自2016年初见底于1046美元后,在今年8月升至新高2075美元,在不到5年时间内几乎翻了一番,这却也令部分投资者担心金价是否已经过度高估;然而,如果把现货金价与美股道琼斯指数相比,就可以发现,与股市的大牛市相比,金价的表现仍然显得逊色。 ② 当前,现货金价与道琼斯指数的比值仅有0.07,而在上世纪80年时,其峰值曾经达到0.8,在2009年上一轮经济危机时,这一比值也在0.15之上,显示如果以股市作为参照系,金价不仅没有高估,而且反而是低估。以当前的股指计算,现货金价要涨到4000美元以上,才能反映出2009年时的危机水平

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