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风险情绪恶化引发竞争性避险买需,美元兑日元后市料继续横盘震荡;① 美元兑日元在周三探底至105.31后回升,整体上仍处于横盘拉锯趋势中。在全球风险情绪日内进一步恶化,一方面因疫苗研发受阻影响,一方面也因英国脱欧谈判前景恶化的背景下,美元与日元重新迎来了竞争性的避险买需,因此汇价录得交替上涨;② 大华银行的分析师指出,市场益发意识到美联储在年内剩余时间内将不会有更多宽松加码行动,并已经把政策皮球踢给了美国国会的财政政策,这一预期对冲了部分由美国大选选情带来的不确定性,令美元汇价持稳,这也令该机构此前预估的美元兑日元在大选投票日跌至103.50之预期显得过度悲观,预计未来数周间,美元兑日元将继续围绕105.50中轴展开横盘震荡

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