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摩根大通分析师Kaneva:若拜登和民主党大获全胜,黄金短期内看涨;① 若拜登赢得美国总统大选,且民主党获得参议院多数席位,这样的选举结果会导致美国国债收益率出现膝跳反射式的下跌,届时美元将走软,应该会提振黄金价格,金价将上涨最高5%;② 若拜登获胜,但两党分别占据两院多数席位,将导致金价上涨2%。特朗普获胜是对黄金最不利的结果,因为持续的贸易紧张局势将推动美元走高;③ 第四季度平均金价的预测维持在每盎司1880美元,因美联储政策和通胀预期占主导地位

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