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美联储至少要到2023年才加息;富国银行认为,美联储将至少在2023年,甚至更晚才会加息,通胀意外上升可能改变这一前景,美国三季度国内生产总值(GDP)增长年率料为30%,仍预期PCE通胀年率在相当长时间内将维持在2%以下,预计就业市场逐步回暖,到2021年底失业率将低于6%,到2022年底将低于5%;小幅上修2020年实际GDP增长与2021年经济增长预期小幅下修得到部分抵消, 10月29日将公布美国三季度GDP增长数据,似乎有可能在30%左右,目前预测是28.6%,按照美联储新政策战略(平均通胀目标机制),通胀疲弱的基本预期使本行预期,美联储至少要到2023年才会加息,甚至可能更长的时间,除非通胀大幅超出预期

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