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美联储QE时代下,黄金已经不再是股市风险的理想对冲;① 摩根大通的分析师指出,由于美联储持续宽松政策的影响,市场行情主要受到资金供应面前景左右,因而在今年以来大部分时间内,美国股市与现货金价大致保持着同步涨跌的周期,这意味着贵金属市场对股市的对冲避险作用已经几乎不复存在;② 分析师指出,在美联储增加货币供应的状况下,美元下跌,而股市和金价都会因此上涨,反之,在外部风险事件引发避险情绪时,美元反弹,股市回落,以美元计价的黄金价格也会大概率不涨反跌。因而,眼下黄金和美元本身才是最能构成相互对冲作用的资产类型。投资者买入美元对冲外部市场尤其是新兴经济体市场的风险事件,然后再买入黄金来对冲美元指数自身的风险

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