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对冲基金的美元空头持仓创2017年来新高,或面临轧空风险; ①随着市场对新冠疫情重燃和美国总统大选临近的不安情绪升温,预测世界主要避险资产美元将陷入颓势显得为时过早。上周美元兑G-10货币创下4月份来最强劲升势; ②最新数据显示,这些空头持仓被平仓的仍很少。根据商品期货交易委员会截至9月22日的数据,与ICE美元指数相关的期货投机性持仓出现自2017年11月以来最空头状态。这表明投机者可能才刚刚开始进入痛苦的世界; ③ING外汇策略师Francesco Pesole表示,美元空头头寸处于多年高点,不可能上周都减仓了。所以美元可能进一步受益于空头回补。BlueBay资产管理公司的首席投资官Mark Dowding表示,我真希望我们已经做多了,经济数据已经显示出令人失望的迹象,疫情变得越来越糟,并且没有额外的刺激措施

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