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近期美元反弹使得黄金大幅承压,但这种下行趋势是不太可能长期持续下去的;① 美国大法官RBG的去世、疫情的迹象发展、美元问题以及接下来美国大选的不确定性等,都意味着黄金长期走强;② 该行表示,黄金长期牛市没有改变,因长期通胀预期在美国大选之后是可能继续上升的,尤其如果有新一轮救助项目的话。那些很晚才入场的黄金多头近期承受了巨大压力;③ 另外,黄金ETF的持有量还有上升,表明了投资者还有黄金的投资需求;④ 商品投资顾问(CTA基金)的流动性现在了黄金和白银的进一步抛售。因此在整个市场风险仍然很大的情况下,黄金市场承受的风险是有限的

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