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花旗:未来数月美元仍有进一步上涨的空间倾向于认为美元在未来几周和几个月内进一步上涨。如果风险背景仍然具有挑战性,料将有更多投资者买入美元。如果出现以下情况,美元在美国大选前回落将构成风险:一是即将就绪、广泛分发的新冠病毒疫苗;二是美联储再次坚持其鸽派立场,如增加资产购买和/或给出更多激进的指引。除此之外,其他国家央行进一步放宽货币政策情况下的经济数据有所改善不太可能促使资金回流到风险偏好交易领域。目前已增加做空纽元兑美元的交易,且维持做空美元兑日元。

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