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金价短期内仍可能承压,预测金价第四季度为1925美元/盎司;① 摩根士丹利报告称,预计金价短期内仍可能承压。美国大选前美元可能走强,利率可能上升;但大选结果不确定性增加、疫情可能产生更严重影响等风险可能部分抵消上述可能性的影响。② 大摩指出,随着美元走强和利率上升,预计到2020年第四季度末市场将趋软。但是2021年应该会看到支持性金融状况的恢复,金价可能会重新测试2000美元/盎司的水平。该机构预测金价第四季度为1925美元/盎司。

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