中期欧元兑美元料于1.16-1.21区间整理；三菱东京日联银行认为，今后数周欧元兑美元将整理于1.16-1.21区间，上行风险包括全球经济和欧洲经济复苏将继续快于预期的进一步信号，美联储制定新的通胀目标，但导致汇价下跌的主要风险包括新增新冠病毒病例加速上升，欧洲央行应对欧元走强和英国脱欧；过去一个月欧元兑美元维持上涨，近期突破1.20，但由于欧洲央行官员更为关注欧元走强表明上涨动能短暂，3月跌至低位1.0636后，已上涨近13%，欧洲央行将更多关注欧元上涨趋势，而不是欧元兑美元处在1.2000上方，据本行长期估值模型显示，欧元兑美元已被低估，如果美联储9月利率决议令市场失望，例如将推出宽松政策的时间推迟至年内晚些时候，美元就有可能上涨
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