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如果无协议脱欧,英国央行将把基准利率降至负0.5%;①美国银行的分析师预测,如果无协议脱欧,英国央行将把基准利率下调至负0.5%。Rob Wood等美国银行全球研究部门分析师在周二写道,尽管最后期限临近,但欧盟与英国的谈判进展甚微,英国在无贸易协议情况下脱欧的可能性大幅上升;②分析师说,虽然美国银行的基线预测是英国与欧盟能达成一项“瘦身版”协议,但最终结果很难预测,如果未能达成协议,英国央行需要采取行动。英国央行在其300年历史中从未将基准降低到零以下,但今年官员们一直在研究必要情况下实施负利率的可能性;③调查显示,在本周的会议上,预计英国央行货币政策委员会将使基准利率保持在0.1%这一纪录低点,资产购买目标为7450亿英镑。美国银行预测,11月份央行将把债券购买规模扩大1000亿英镑,并下调基准利率至零

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