Post
· Views 1,297
标普500指数或陷入盘整;① 摩根士丹利表示,标普500指数已从3月23日的低点飙升了55%,是历史上最快的调整,预计基于目前三个对市场健康尤其不利的市场脱节因素,该指数料陷入盘整;美国经济意外指数创历史高点,制造业反弹,房屋销售和耐用品订单强劲,均支持经济V型复苏理论,但标普500指数中板块的相关性处于历史低点,周期性股和传统价值类股落后于市场领跑股,市场领跑股由少数成长型大盘股主导,其中主要是科技股,在经济反弹期间通常表现良好的金融股则表现疲弱;② 当美国国债收益率下跌时,往往波动性较小且股息较高的板块表现通常会强于其他板块,因为投资者寻求“债券代理”,但最近房地产投资信托、公用事业和消费必需品等债券代理被甩在了后面,当然商业地产受到新冠病毒引发经济衰退的严重打击,但这种动态仍不协调,特别是考虑到继续低利率和金融股疲弱的前景;鼓励投资者在认知失调最严重的地方寻找机会,建议等待标普500指数出现修正,然后买入目前表现落后的板块,如金融、工业、材料和医疗保健等,一旦投资者更加热情地拥抱开始出现的V型复苏,这些板块可能会跑赢大盘

Disclaimer: The content above represents only the views of the author or guest. It does not represent any views or positions of FOLLOWME and does not mean that FOLLOWME agrees with its statement or description, nor does it constitute any investment advice. For all actions taken by visitors based on information provided by the FOLLOWME community, the community does not assume any form of liability unless otherwise expressly promised in writing.

FOLLOWME Trading Community Website: https://www.followme.com

avatar

Hot

No comment on record. Start new comment.