#XAU/USD# #WTI.F# 黄金的基本面背景依然稳健。这很大程度上归咎于扩张的货币政策及可能进一步加码刺激的财政政策导致了实际收益率持续下降并且持续承压：短期利率处于接近于零的水平，而通胀却在上升。从历史上看，实际收益率承压或实际收益率为负往往利好贵金属。本周，美国财政部推出了10年期通胀保值债券。这些因素将继续强化实际收益率为负推动了黄金和白银近几个月升势的观点，黄金、白银在7月下旬也刷新了有意义的高位。黄金波动率已经开始回落，但这并不一定利空金价，若我们长期的定理成立的话：鉴于当前的环境，黄金波动率下降并不一定利空金价，而黄金波动率上升几乎都会利好金价。同样的，黄金波动率仅仅处于横盘震荡状态中，这对金价构成的利好甚于利空。
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