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花旗:澳元兑美元3个月后或升至0.72,但进一步上行空间有限; ① 花旗集团认为,澳元兑美元后市仍有进一步上行空间,在3个月期限内有望升至0.72一线,但之后上升空间就将受到限制,在6-12个月期限汇价仍将仅维持在0.73上下; ② 短线来看,全球经济复苏的加快,大宗商品价格的反弹,以及在美联储政策维持宽松预期之下美元的承压基调,对于高风险的商品系货币而言仍是持续利多,因此,澳元兑美元一旦有效升破0.70心理关键阻力位,后市仍有进一步的上行空间; ③中长期来看,全球疫情前景仍充满变数,下半年更可能面临二度爆发风险,美国选战对于全球风险好情绪的影响,以及澳元本身在全球贸易困局中的尴尬角色,也会限制澳元汇价进一步向上突破的空间

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