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在没有新的事件驱动情况下,上半年人民币汇率将保持区间震荡态势。由于全球经济增长动力弱化,受避险情绪驱动,美元指数再次上涨至97以上,但与去年不同的是,人民币与美元之间的反向联动关系弱化,近期美元的强势并未给人民币带来太大压力,说明市场情绪和预期已然发生变化,市场对人民币汇率信心增强。

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