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英镑兑日元回吐盘中涨势,徘徊于153.00关口上方

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  • 周一英镑兑日元反弹,但缺乏跟进
  • 退欧担忧盖过英央行鹰派预期并支撑英镑
  • 新冠病毒担忧再起提振避险货币日元并限制该货币对的涨势

周一欧洲时段早盘英镑兑日元冲高至日内新高153.65区域附近,但之后迅速回撤数点。该交叉盘目前徘徊于日交易区间底部153.20-15区域附近。

汇价在本周第一个交易日上涨,延续上周五自100日SMA152.50附近以来的反弹行情。不过多重因素限制该交叉盘进一步上涨,汇价在高位再度回落。

英国脱欧后在北爱尔兰的安排和捕鱼权问题上陷入僵局,继续对英镑造成不利影响。除此之外,欧洲新冠病毒病例的激增有利于日元的避险地位,并限制了英镑/日元交叉盘的任何有意义的上行空间。

这在很大程度上抵消了英央行在12月立即加息的预期,未能给该交叉盘带来任何推力。不过近期多次自100日SMA支撑位反弹值得激进的看跌交易员保持谨慎。

周一英国没有重要数据公布,汇价走势将取决于最新的退欧进展。在押注其进一步下跌之前,等待一些强劲的跟进卖盘是审慎的。

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