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英镑/美元:依然困于1.3500/1.3680的区间内 - 大华银行

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大华银行外汇策略师指出,未来几周英镑兑美元仍将交投于1.3500-1.3680之间。

要点

24小时观点:“昨日我们强调‘英镑看涨,但任何涨势不太可能突破1.3680的强劲阻力位。’我们的观点是正确的,因为它升至1.3674,但我们没有料到英镑自高位急速回落(北美时段尾盘跌至1.3584)。急速下跌令动能提升,英镑将下跌至1.3545,持续性跌破该位的几率不大(下一支撑位于1.3500)。阻力位于1.3615,然后为1.3635。”

1-3周前景:“昨日(10月11日 市价1.3635)我们强调英镑升破预期盘整区间1.3460/1.3680顶部的概率增加。英镑随后上涨接近1.3680(高至1.3674)后意外大跌(隔夜低点1.3584)。短期建立的动能迅速耗尽。换句话说,英镑仍处于盘整阶段,可能位于1.3500/1.3680的区间内(比此前的1.3460/1.3680区间更窄)。”

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