You just can’t keep a bull market down.
After the worst session since May 12, and a nearly 3% drop over the last three sessions, the S&P 500
SPX,
With record economic growth and fiscal and monetary support in full force, it’s no wonder bulls are driving markets higher, even as worries over new variants of coronavirus, surging inflation and fading stimulus abound.
It turns out there’s technical support as well. According to Bespoke Investment Group, when the S&P 500 closed below its 50-day moving average this year, it has rallied on average by 3.95% in the ensuing week. Since 1945, the average one-week return when the index closes below the 50-day moving average is a mere 0.06% gain.
Now, the S&P 500 merely touched the 50-day moving average this week and didn’t close below it. Still, the factoid, they say, is evidence of the buy-the-dip mentality driving markets at the moment. They warn of course that the firepower won’t last forever, but for now, it’s hard to bet against this stock market, no matter that the rallying bond market seems to be sending the opposite message.
Keith Lerner, chief market strategist at Truist Advisory Services, adds the headline reading of the S&P 500 is obscuring the fact the pullback is already further along than many have realized, with just 36% of stocks in the S&P 500 now above their 50-day average, versus 90% in April. Trading may get “sloppy” over the summer months but the primary trend over the next 12 months remains higher, he adds.
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Streaming service Netflix
NFLX,
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CMG,
Verizon Communications rose 2% as the telecom giant also topped earnings estimates.
Tesla
TSLA,
The founder of real-estate investment trust DigitalBridge
DBRG,
The chart
USA, USA, USA — at least in the stock market. The ratio of the U.S. stock market to everywhere else is at unprecedented levels.
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A second-day bounce
ES00,
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