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美元/日元:将进一步上涨触及112.00关口 - 大华银行

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大华银行外汇策略师指出,进一步上涨将推动美元兑日元近期升至112.00关口。

要点

24小时观点:“昨日我们预期美元兑日元上涨,但认为‘持续升破111.25的几率不大。’强势飙升推动美元兑日元意外升至111.63。上涨动能强劲,汇价可能进一步走强。不过严重超买表明汇价可能不会触及111.95。支撑位于111.40,然后为111.25。”

1-3周前景:“昨日昨日(7月1日 市价111.05)我们转而看涨美元兑日元,但上涨动能没有大幅改善,汇价将升向111.45。令人意外的是,汇价突然飙升至111.63。动能强势提升表明汇价可能进一步走强。不过短期超买将放慢其进一步上涨的速度。自此关注111.95。突破111.95将打开升至去年高点112.20的大门。只要没有跌破111.00(昨日‘强劲支撑’位于110.55),则当前涨势完好。”

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