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大摩对内银股最新投资评级及目标价:招商银行(03968)、平安银行等仍是首选

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大摩对内银股最新投资评级及目标价:招商银行(03968)、平安银行等仍是首选 © Reuters. 大摩对内银股最新投资评级及目标价:招商银行(03968)、平安银行等仍是首选

智通财经APP获悉,大摩发表报告,认为现市场对内银关注已由宏观及不良贷款风险,转至来自政策窗口指引的不明朗,大摩调整其对内银盈利预测及估值(见下表),以反映相关转变,认为早前降级已属过度,即使计入政策指引或存在一些永久性影响。大摩予整体内银行业评级为“吸引”,认为是时候增持(time to add)。

大摩表示,内银即使计入长远较低股息,在经济复苏期仍有良好价值。大摩调低对内银盈利预测,当中计入2020年第二季度拨备,以及持续政策干预,同时进一步降低主要内银的股本回报率,包括潜在更多政策指引。该行强调,最新估值中,仍计入内银长期相对最新目标价,会有四至五成股价升幅,相信进一步经济复苏及温和政策干预,应会支持股价反弹,偏市场主导银行如招商银行(03968)、平安银行等,仍是大摩首选,但同时相信主要国有内银亦有反弹价值。

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