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国庆节后一周累计涨2000元,此品种还继续看多吗?【研客大宗脱水策略周报1018】

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策略关注度的等级说明
5星:十分强烈推荐关注;4星:强烈推荐关注;
3星:十分值得关注;2星:值得关注;
1星:可以关注

一、为什么关注?


国内外疫情忧虑减轻,虽有二次爆发隐忧,但IMF上调明年经济增长预期,USDA10月预估下调全球棉花产量,上调全球棉花消费,主要上调中国和印度消费,目前处于新棉上市阶段,籽棉抢收收购价高位持续抬升,新棉成本随之上升,加上下游纺织企业,从疫情复产后在利润不好和订单量不定的情况下,为减轻压力回笼资金,保持低负荷,低原料和去成品库存的政策,至国庆节前,成品库存去化迅速,企业开始逐步被动补原料库存,国庆节后双十一订单涌来,企业转为主动补原料库存,市场利多情绪集中发酵,郑棉一度涨停,郑棉主力期货国庆节前12800元/吨,节后返市以来盘中一度涨停,连续累计暴涨2000点至最新14800元/吨,后市将如何演绎?

二、本期策略,我们筛选出这些机构的逻辑及策略


策略:中期看多棉花2101
撰写时刻点位:10月16日周五下午收盘,郑棉2101收盘价14775
策略关注评级:3
交易周期:月度

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