GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2811; (P) 1.2895; (R1) 1.2975;

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 1.3007 resistance will argue that decline from 1.3482 is merely a corrective move, and turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3482. On the downside, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.3482 at 1.2690 will argue that the rise from 1.1409 might be completed, and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.2201.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 1.1409 was strong, it’s limited by both 1.3514 resistance, as well as 55 month EMA (now at 1.3317). The development keeps outlook bearish. Sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 1.2749) will add to medium term bearishness for a new low below 1.1409 at a later stage, resuming the down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high).