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美国银行:大家需要保持冷静 灾难过去后建议套利做空美元

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FX168财经报社(香港)讯 美国银行(BofA)周一(3月9日)撰文称,大家需要保持冷静,当灾难过去后,建议投资者通过套利交易来做空美元。

美国银行分析师表示:“世界经济今年可能会面临衰退风险,年度GDP增长率料降至2009年以来最低。长期而言,疫情对供应链的影响尚未成为全球化倒退的风险,这是相比贸易紧张关系和‘技术战争’而言的。”

该行分析师补充道:“当灾难过去后,我们建议投资者在一两个月内通过套利交易来做空美元。根据我们的预测,美国利率将比疫情爆发前低100个基点,市场是预计美联储可能会在年底前降息至零利率。当一切尘埃落定后,‘安全收益率’的需求将会攀升,尤其是在美国利率显著下降的情况下。”

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