GOLD PRICE FORECAST: XAU/USD TICKS UP TO RENEW YTD HIGH NEAR $2,000 AS WEEK-START OPTIMISM FADES
Gold price (XAU/USD) ticks up to $1,993 as it renews the yearly high during Monday’s European session, reversing the Asian session’s losses amid fresh challenges to the risk appetite. It’s worth noting that the metal rose the most on a daily, as well as on a weekly, basis in the last amid broad weakness of the US Treasury bond yields and the US Dollar.
The latest run-up of the yellow metal could be linked to the fears of banking sector rout despite the efforts of the major central banks and private banks. Also challenging the sentiment are the fears of more rate hikes, as well as negative results of a deal between Credit Suisse and UBS.
That said, news surrounding the major central banks’ coordinated efforts to fuel the market’s liquidity joined the headlines suggesting the UBS takeover of the troubled Credit Suisse to underpin the recovery in the sentiment during the early Asian session.
Though, the details of the UBS-Credit Suisse deal suggest losses for the Credit Suisse AT1 bondholders, which in turn probed the weak-start optimism. On the same line are the interest rate futures that suggest the upcoming hawkish actions from the key central bank. It should be noted that the fears of more banking sector fallout also weigh on the US Treasury bond yields and allow the Gold price to remain firmer.
Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 Futures reverse the week-start gains while the US 10-year and two-year Treasury bond yield retreat towards multi-day lows marked the previous day. It’s worth noting that United States two-year Treasury bond yields marked the biggest weekly loss in three years while the 10-year counterpart dropped the most since early January.
Looking forward, risk catalysts and the bond market moves could entertain the Gold traders ahead of the monetary policy meetings of the Federal Reserve (Fed), Swiss National Bank (SNB) and the Bank of England (BoE). Also important to watch will be the March month’s first readings of activity numbers for the major economies.
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