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布伦特原油

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布伦特原油周一收盘持涨后,今日开盘大幅上升至79.34,由于日前非洲两大产油国增产幅度受限,使得油价录得大幅度飙涨。

在利多数据方面,日前非洲主要石油出口国尼日利亚和安哥拉因投资和零件供应维修不足问题,延迟了两国开采石油的配额目标。在全球能源供给趋紧危机情景下,高盛将其对年底时油价预估从每桶80美元上调至90美元。此外,周一美国商务部公布的数据显示,8月扣除飞机和国防用品的核心资本品订单增长0.5%,整体耐用品订单增长1.8%,反映出商用飞机订单有明显增加,对后市油需求将可能提升。而在利差数据方面,由于上周美联储立场偏鹰,部分科技股遭到抛售,包含标普500指数和纳斯达克指数在周一时收低。

总而言之,目前由于两大产油国因维修问题而产量有所影响且疫情后全球能源市场需求扩大情况下,油价连日飙升。后市油价须关注美国API库存数据。

从上行方向来看,上方压制(上方阻力) 79.30,79.80;从下行方向看,下方支撑78.70。

 @CPT International 

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