四季：美原油谨防周五黑天鹅
一年里尚且有四季交替，更何况是金融市场，我是四季，春夏秋冬的四季。
今日周五，工作日最后一天，前两天原油很强势，强势上涨，道明证券全球大宗商品策略主管BartMelek表示，对布油如此快速突破50美元感到惊讶，他之前预计要等到库存和需求状况进一步好转的情况下才会突破这个关口。由于关键的技术指标发出超买信号，并且近期美国库存增长，因此存在着油价涨势过头的可能性。
原油技术面来看，原油当前如期回撤，现报46.5附近，4小时上看，原油在前期一波连续上涨后给到了47.7高位后开始下跌到46.4，高点在47.3-47.7水平遇阻，低点在46.3附近得到支撑，5日均线和10日均线在46.5附近可能会形成一个死叉，MACD也有死叉的可能性，红色能量柱下降，上升能量不足。
综合来看，今日美油短线操作思路上建议以做空为主，上方短期重点关注47.3-47.7，下方短期重点关注46.3-46.0。
入市有风险，投资需谨慎！
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