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众投点金:疫苗推涨风险资产,避险黄金一夜变天

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昨日美盘时段,美指触及近两个月低位大幅反弹,打压了非美货币和以美元计价的黄金原油等大宗商品。但黄金昨日崩盘的最主要原因还是由于疫苗研发获得新进展,提振了市场对风险资产的需求,辉瑞与BioNTech SE发布的初步研究结果显示,其试验新冠疫苗可预防90%以上的有症状感染。尽管疫苗在目前有进展,但仍不能对疫情放松警惕,一方面因为疫苗推广需要经过监管部门批准,另一方面则是疫情在欧美国家仍在蔓延,美国新增确诊激增至疫情以来最高水平。


拜登胜得美国总统大选后,民主党支持者纷纷上街庆祝,而共和党选民则发动示威抗压,特朗普也不甘示弱拒绝接受这个事实,从而发起了诉讼,这增加了美国政治的不确定性,同时也给予了金价一定的支撑。


拜登胜得美国总统大选后,民主党支持者纷纷上街庆祝,而共和党选民则发动示威抗压,特朗普也不甘示弱拒绝接受这个事实,从而发起了诉讼,这增加了美国政治的不确定性,同时也给予了金价一定的支撑。


通常来说,拜登在当选后会推出更大规模的财政刺激计划,继而推高通胀预期,从而利多金价。但民主党夺得参议院话语权的可能性不大,这也将会让拜登实行更大规模的财政刺激计划受阻。


技术面来看,黄金昨日突遭重创,欧美盘时段创下110美元的跌幅,日线收阴吞没前方多日涨幅,今日早盘价格在1850寻得支撑回调上涨。H4级别RSI直探超卖区域,MACD双线形成死叉且下行动能强劲,鳄鱼线也重启空头排列,短线趋势在回调后有望继续下行。从盘面上来看,金价基本奠定了目前1848-1960的大级别震荡箱体,长期趋势关注该箱体突破方向寻求进一步走势。目前值得注意的是价格再次回到千九关口下方,目前需要关注斐波那契38.2%-50%的区间、同时也是千九关口多空交投密集区的阻力作用。


众投点金:疫苗推涨风险资产,避险黄金一夜变天


行情每天都有,追多杀空亦可,高抛低吸也罢,耐心与信心是制胜的关键。


由于网络推送延迟性,文章内容仅供参考,投资有风险,入市需谨慎。


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