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Daily Gold News: Gold Going Sideways Despite Fed Talks, Tweets

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The gold futures contract lost 0.59% on Tuesday, as it extended its short-term consolidation. Yesterday volatility has increased following a tweet from the U.S. President ending stimulus talks. But overall, the market continues going sideways. Recently gold was retracing a rally from around $1,800 to August 7 record high of $2,089.20 in reaction to U.S. dollar advance, among other factors. Then gold has bounced from the support level marked by mid-August local low of around $1,875, as we can see on the daily chart (the chart includes today’s intraday data):

Daily Gold News: Gold Going Sideways Despite Fed Talks, Tweets

Gold is 0.5% higher this morning vs. yesterday’s NY close, as it is extending a short-term consolidation. What about the other precious metals? Silver lost 2.60% on Tuesday and today it is 2.1% higher. Platinum lost 3.80% and today it is 1.0% higher. Palladium gained 0.54% on Tuesday and today it is 0.1% higher. So precious metals are generally slightly higher this morning.

Yesterday’s Fed Chair Powell speech hasn’t been a game changer as much as Donald Trump’s tweet later in the day. Today we will get more Fed talk along with the FOMC Meeting Minutes release at 2:00 p.m.

Let’s focus on last Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls release. Where will the price of gold go following last week’s news? We’ve compiled the data since September of 2018, a 25-month-long period of time that contains of twenty five NFP releases. The first chart shows price paths 5 days before and 10 days after the NFP release. The last three cases are marked with dashed lines. Gold gained around 1% in July and September, but in August it lost almost 4%.

Daily Gold News: Gold Going Sideways Despite Fed Talks, Tweets

The following chart shows the average gold price path before and after the NFP releases for the past 25 months. The market was usually fluctuating for a week before advancing and closing 0.46% higher on the 10th day after the monthly Nonfarm Payrolls release.

Daily Gold News: Gold Going Sideways Despite Fed Talks, Tweets

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