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黄金反弹依旧看回落

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黄金上周高位滑落收在低位,上周周初1952开盘价即是周内最高价,开盘即跌下破1900奠定周内弱势空头趋势,最低下行至周布林道中轨处1848附近小有支撑,后两个交易日处于中轨上方窄幅整理,最终周线收盘中阴线。从周线来看,此前在高位单阴下挫后局部整理再次中阴线吞没下行,周线继续看调整,且周线级别的调整深度通常会比短线级别大得多。日线连阴破低下行后,局部仍处于临界点1900下方弱势震荡修正。拉动短期指标下压。日线暂时等待再次的破低延续,此处小有停顿,周初可能出现两种走法。其一是弱势整理修正后蓄势破低。其二则是先反弹进行一波空间上的修正蓄势再破低下行。但最终的趋势还是向下,只是以何种方式呈现。周初多加观望盘中形态转换,在反弹中择机高空。

4小时局部稍有放缓,上周五一直处在1848附近支撑进入中性震荡。小周期的形态暂时下破无力,反弹又无空间。局部收缩整理当中。从波浪形空间来看,仍处于下行趋势当中,本周的强弱临界点仍是在1900.弱势修正以横向整理为主,正常的反弹也不能超过1900.这样后市再次的破低下行才更有力度,否则反弹大了容易完成收复。本周趋势暂定修正后下跌,重点看反弹修正的空间力度。强一点反弹可能见到183-1893间承压再下行,弱势的修正的话则会维持在1877-1882一带受阻。操作上初步计划保持反弹空,重点留意切入点,若是直接弱势整理后下破1848.则届时盘中临盘及时跟进。

黄金(1)1872-1873一带空 防守1877.50 目标1860-1850破位下看。

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