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圣杰良金:黄金空头强烈,你的空单安全吗?

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2020年9月28日星期一

大家好,我是圣杰良金。伯乐遇知音,千里马觅伯乐,不是所有的都适合,合适的只有一个。虽然你我只是偶然相遇,一篇文章的牵引,或许就是你投资路上越走越顺的基础。

黄金:现货黄金上周五延续低迷走势。亚欧盘期间保持在1860美元以上运行,欧盘盘初站上日高1874.98美元,随后掉头向下,最低触及1852.42美元,尾盘收复部分失地,收跌0.39%,报1860.00美元/盎司。现货黄金上周累跌近5%,创今年3月以来最大单周跌幅。

消息面:黄金本轮下跌,主要是因为美元指数持续反弹修正,施压黄金。全球共计11款疫苗已经进入3期试验,其中我国就有4款疫苗进入3期试验,进展顺利。据国家卫健委官员,按照现在的估算,到今年年底,预计新冠疫苗年产能达6.1亿剂,到明年,年产能可以达到10亿剂以上,大大缓解全球疫情风险,经济复苏有望。此外,美国及欧洲均相继推出经济刺激方案或法案,以救助低迷的经济状况。所以,黄金避险情绪降温,需求降温。所以,今天的消息面是利空黄金的。


技术面:黄金一小时图。黄金周线收出一根长阴线,空头强烈;日线连续收阴,仅上周五收出一根小阳线,不足以构成反转形态,指标上布林线开口打开呈放大状态,空头将延续下行;一小时图,蜡烛图跌破均线三线下轨,均线出现死叉先现象。布林线开口虽然是走平,但是有明显的向下趋势。短线震荡暂时止跌,如果向下跌破1850将继续加速下跌,下方支撑位于1810一线。所以,今天的黄金可能会反弹到1875然后再向下跌。

观点:现在金价在测试黄金分割回调位1875美元/盎司附近阻力,突破后短线或将看涨至黄金分割回调位1890美元/盎司附近,若金价继续走高,未来或将进一步测试黄金分割回调位1910美元/盎司附近阻力。


若金价在1875美元/盎司下方,下方较近支撑位为1850美元/盎司附近,若破位后进一步支撑位见黄金分割回调位1820美元/盎司--1810美元/盎司。

具体交易策略若在1875美元/盎司之下,短线看跌。第一目标位1850美元/盎司,第二目标位1820美元/盎司。第三目标位1810美元/盎司。止损1882美元/盎司。

若金价在1875美元/盎司之上,短线看涨。第一目标位1890美元/盎司,第二目标位1910美元/盎司。


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