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圣杰良金:原油有反弹结束现象,39.8空

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2020年9月23日星期三

大家好,我是圣杰良金。伯乐遇知音,千里马觅伯乐,不是所有的都适合,合适的只有一个。虽然你我只是偶然相遇,一篇文章的牵引,或许就是你投资路上越走越顺的基础。

原油:WTI原油开盘后整体下行,午后油价获提振,一度上破40美元关口,晚间维持震荡走势,最终收跌0.09%,报39.74美元/桶。布伦特原油涨0.24%,报41.76美元/桶。

消息面:美国上周API原油库存意外增加69.1万桶。周三凌晨公布的数据显示,美国上周API原油库存增加69.1万桶至4.952亿桶,预期为减少225.6万桶。不过,上周的汽油库存却大幅减少773.5万桶,预期为减少61.4万桶。今天的消息面是利空原油的。

技术面:原油昨日依然是39.8压力位置下震荡走势,没有突破前依然偏空看跌。 原油从43位置大跌后在36位置获得支撑反弹,最高反弹触及41.5区域,最终承压于1小时级别的均线压力后回落,并且直接跌破39.8支撑和39.3支撑,当前行情暂时维持在39.8压力位置下震荡。根据K线指标显示,K线已经跌破均线下轨,均线出现死叉现象并且有向下的趋势而且有些明显。布林带开口向下趋势明显,MACD虽然持续走平但是毫无向上的趋势。所以,今天的油价是看空的。

 观点:图为原油30分钟走势图,若油价在39.8之下短线或将跌至黄金分割回调位39,若继续下行将进一步看跌至38.6。

若油价在39.8上行,短线或测试黄金分割回调位40.5,突破后将进一步看涨至黄金分割回调位41.5。

具体交易策略:短线看涨,若油价在39.3之上,第一目标位40,第二目标位40.5,第三目标位41.5。止损39

若油价在39.3之下,短线看跌,第一目标位39,第二目标位38.6。止损40.3

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