Note

我们所忽略的概率

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判断一个交易品种将近时刻某个方向变化的概率,以及变动幅度需要技术,也更需要更宏观的“技术” 

例如:关键品种的合理,历史规律的合理,止损止盈的合理

还有,几乎很多人忽视的,试错的合理

至于“试错”是哪门子的概率?如果技术概率追求的是1:3,那试错概率往往大于3,就不断做不断造成了损失,说明存在太多被忽略的错误的可能性没有被算进去,或者愿意承担结果承担不了,以及存在自然变数(一比一)

试错尽量控制在2:1以内,止损止盈需要控制在1:5以上才能真正地做到不断盈利

 #交易员洞察#  #我的跟随心情#  #跟随盈利技巧#  $ETH/USD$  $XAU/USD$ 

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