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1028:澳元日线走低,短线做空为主

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1028:澳元日线走低,短线做空为主

澳元/美元周四大阴线收低,短线跌势稳固,并确认了前一交易日上影线的见顶压力,后市大概率情况将面临进一步走低风险。技术上,MACD看跌动能柱显现,双线死叉面临发散,推升看空偏好。

基本面上,本周公布的三季度cpi表现靓丽,减轻了市场对澳洲联储下月会议上采取宽松行动和立场的顾虑,但澳元涨势昙花一现,充分反映了资金心理的博弈偏空头。此外,中国9月企业盈利数据不佳,亦对澳元带来拖累。

日内美国三季度GDP报告预期向好,对澳元负面影响。尽管最后的实际结果可能和预期有偏差,但只要数据显示美国经济较上季度增速加快,澳元即便脉冲式反弹后仍有较重下行压力。

交易策略:0.7630-0.7640附近做空澳元/美元,止损0.7660,目标0.75800.7500

PS:投资有风险,入市需谨慎,以上观点仅供参考。

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