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1024:另一个做空欧元的方式

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1024:另一个做空欧元的方式

107日英镑黑天事件之后,欧元/英镑近两周的交易时间承压回落,目前回落至了0.8900附近。笔者认为,英镑短期跌势超跌受限,以及欧元在上周利率决议后大幅回落是影响欧元/英镑交叉盘走低的关键。

目前看来,欧元在上周德拉基讲话后面临进一步走低风险。本周欧元区经济数据和德拉基再度讲话或对打压欧元带来积极性。其次,美元中期走高前景下,欧元和英镑均面临看空压力。但前期英镑大跌释放了相当规模的积压,英镑跌幅将可能落后欧元。

技术上,欧元/英镑日线图上在1021日出现反弹长上影的看跌信号,1022日周五进一步确认了颓势,有惯性下跌风险。指标上,MACD看跌动能扩张,双线死叉向下发散,推升下行压力。

交易策略:0.8890-0.8900做空欧元/英镑,止损0.8940,目标0.88400.88000.8740

PS:投资有风险,入市需谨慎,以上观点仅供参考。

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